Michael Saylor, the Executive Chairman and Chairman of the Board of MicroStrategy Inc. (NASDAQ: MSTR), has lost his majority voting control over the company due to recent share issuances that have diluted his stake. This development raises questions about the future direction of MicroStrategy’s aggressive Bitcoin strategy and its vulnerability to activist investors.
Matt Walsh, General Partner at Castle Island Ventures, drew attention to this shift on X. He noted that “with the recent issuance, Saylor no longer has voting control. Who are the MSTR experts out there? Curious how relevant this would be if MSTR were to trade at a discount to NAV (i.e. like a closed end fund) in a risk-off regime. Does this leave the company exposed to an activist?”
A Threat To Bitcoin?
According to a recent SEC filing, MicroStrategy expects that “on or shortly after November 12, 2024,” Saylor and his affiliates will hold less than 50% of the aggregate voting power for the election of directors. Consequently, the company will no longer qualify for the “controlled company” exemption under Nasdaq listing requirements. This exemption had previously allowed MicroStrategy certain flexibilities in corporate governance practices.
In anticipation of these changes, MicroStrategy announced the immediate establishment of a Nominating Committee, appointing independent director Carl J. Rickertsen as its sole member. The company stated that it already has a majority of independent directors on its board and a compensation committee consisting solely of independent directors, aligning with the requirements for non-controlled companies.
The potential loss of majority control has sparked debate among industry observers about the implications for MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin-focused strategy. Eric Golden, Founder and CEO of Canopy Capital, expressed concern, saying, “I think this is a real risk to be considered.” He compared the situation to a closed-end fund trading at a significant discount to its net asset value (NAV), questioning whether shareholders might attempt to “force a liquidation” under such circumstances.
On the other hand, Mike Alfred, Founder and Managing Partner of Alpine Fox LP, downplayed immediate concerns by suggesting that any potential risks are not imminent. “Maybe but that’s a 2026 or 2027 problem. Right now we make hay while the sun is shining,” he remarked.
Providing a legal perspective, Jesse, a business lawyer specializing in corporate and business law, argued that the shift in voting power may not jeopardize the company’s Bitcoin strategy. He noted that “a single shareholder can hold far less than 50% of the voting stock and still direct the company’s strategy.” Jesse cited examples like Warren Buffett’s approximately 32% voting power in Berkshire Hathaway and Elon Musk’s roughly 13% in Tesla to illustrate that majority control isn’t always necessary for strategic direction.
He also highlighted the coordination challenges that activist investors face in rallying a broad shareholder base. “It’s very difficult for an opposing party to coordinate a broad shareholder base that often does not bother to even vote ‘yay’ or ‘nay’ on matters at the annual meeting,” Jesse explained. He added that an average of 25-33% of outstanding shares typically cast votes, making it challenging to effect change without significant effort.
“Even in the most epic of shareholder votes–the TSLA vote on Elon’s compensation–only ~83% of eligible votes were cast. That means that a holder of 42% of those votes could have single-handedly decided the outcome. This was a vote that saw massive shareholder solicitation efforts and non-stop media stories, yet nearly 20% of votes weren’t even cast,” Jesse explained.
He further pointed out that MicroStrategy’s shareholder base is already aligned with its Bitcoin strategy. “Since the tender offer in 2020, the company has issued millions of shares to investors that were aware of the BTC strategy—indeed, most of us bought shares precisely because MSTR was pursuing this strategy,” he said.
Additionally, Jesse suggested that the reduction in Saylor’s voting power could mitigate concerns over ‘key man’ risk. “Seeing MSTR continue to execute on the strategy while Saylor’s voting power declines will reassure shareholders that MSTR will succeed regardless of Saylor’s voting control,” he concluded.
At press time, Bitcoin traded at $97,529.