The next chapter in Bitcoin’s history is much awaited by crypto investors, and an experienced trader just provided a possible turn of events.
According to Peter Brandt’s study, by late summer 2025 Bitcoin might gallop towards a record-breaking $130,000 to $150,000.
Brandt’s projection depends on a historical phenomena sometimes referred to as the Bitcoin halving. The quantity of Bitcoins given to miners halves every four years, therefore limiting supply and presumably driving prices higher.
25% Chance Bitcoin Has Already Hit Its Peak
Brandt looks farther, though; he contends that historical halving points have closely matched the middle of bull market cycles. His study points to a peak 16–18 months later, bringing us exactly in that August–September 2025 range given the most recent halving occurring in April 2024.
Peter Brandt's analysis. Source: TradingView
Brandt himself notes the limits of his forecast. He cautions that “no method of analysis is fool-proof” and adds a wary 25% probability that Bitcoin might already have peaked for this cycle. This begs a crucial concern: are we already looking down a crypto winter and past the stampede?
Underlying Factors For Brandt’s Analysis
Brandt’s hope is tempered by other elements as well. One is the declining returns every bull cycle generates. Although historical highs demonstrate amazing increase, the increases seem to be slowing down. The recent peak fell short of its predecessor, and should this tendency continue, we could not see a six-figure Bitcoin this time around.
A price dip below $55,000 might also indicate a declining bull and a possible correction, which would chill even the most committed hodlers—holders of cryptocurrencies for the long run.
BTC market cap currently at $1.3 trillion. Chart: TradingView.com
Bitcoin Price Forecast
Concurrent with this strong positive trend shown by the present Bitcoin price prediction, which projects a significant rise of 28% to a price of $88,600 by July 3, 2024. Technical data show that good market attitude supports this hope. A bullish attitude implies that investors have faith in Bitcoin’s increasing path.
Furthermore indicating that market players are growing more willing to invest, the Fear & Greed Index—which presently stands at 73—Greed—may help to drive the price even higher. This index level shows a strong degree of market optimism and can be a forerunner of continuous price rises should the mood hold.
With a 47% success rate in recording green days, indicating roughly half of the days were lucrative, Bitcoin’s performance has showed varied outcomes over the last 30 days. At 4.45%, the price volatility indicates that although there is notable fluctuation, it stays within a reasonable range—qualities typical of a busy but not very turbulent market.
Assuming no major external shocks or negative news influences the cryptocurrency scene, the mix of these elements—positive sentiment, a high Greed index, and rather controlled volatility presents a picture of a market ready for continuous development.
Featured image from Pngtree, chart from TradingView